How crypto issuance affects price — simulate coin price action, interactive guide
When a crypto prints new coins (that’s issuance), it creates a steady trickle of potential sellers. If typical buyers coming in each day can comfortably absorb those coins (plus any other sellers), price can hold or rise. If not, price tends to drift down until it’s cheap enough to attract more buyers. Liquidity (how deep the market is) matters: deeper markets need bigger flows to move the price. Real markets are also noisy—news, emotions, and random trades make prices wiggle even when the average drift is up or down.
Crypto Price Simulator
New issuance adds potential sellers; buyers + liquidity decide how price moves. Play with the inputs below and hit Simulate.
What the simulator does (quick notes)
- Near-term sells = sellers + the % of issuance assumed to be sold now.
- Price drifts up if buyers > sells; down if sells > buyers (scaled by liquidity).
- Randomness adds day-to-day wiggles like a real market.
What the inputs mean (in the simulator above):
Randomness: how wiggly the path is (0 = smooth, 1 = wild). It adds natural, realistic noise around the average drift.
Starting price ($): where the price begins on day 0.
Liquidity / Depth: how resistant the price is to flow; higher = smaller moves for the same buyer/seller imbalance.
Issuance per day (coins): new coins created each day.
Share of issuance sold now (%): not every new coin is dumped immediately; this sets the slice that does hit the market today.
Organic buyers per day (coins): typical daily buying flow from real users/investors.
Organic sellers per day (coins): typical daily selling flow (excluding new issuance).
Timeframe (days): how many days to simulate.